In his latest article, Bloomberg Max Hastings predicts a pessimistic scenario for Ukraine, focusing on future geopolitical risks and changes in Western support. He claims that despite Ukraine's heroic efforts, Russian troops control a large part of its territory, and military superiority is gradually shifting to Russia.
Hastings draws attention to the fact that European countries facing internal crises may seek ways to end the war even through compromises unacceptable to Ukraine. An additional factor is the elections in the USA, which, according to him, may bring even more difficulties for Kyiv.
The role of US elections and Trump's position
The columnist warns that the possible return of Donald Trump to power will be disastrous for Ukraine, as the former US president has repeatedly shown favor to Vladimir Putin. Even if another administration, such as Kamala Harris, enters the White House, pressure to end the war without a victory for Ukraine may remain a priority.
Worsening support in Europe
European countries, in particular, may experience conflict fatigue due to economic problems and the energy crisis. Hastings notes that it is already becoming more difficult for Ukraine to convince international leaders to continue providing support at the level needed to successfully resist the aggressor.
A pessimistic view of Ukraine's future
The journalist also emphasizes that even if Russia cannot completely occupy Ukraine, the country may remain in a state of ruin, where it is difficult to live or invest. Economic losses, millions of refugees and general instability threaten a long recovery.
Membership in NATO: an unlikely prospect
Hastings emphasizes that while Ukraine's membership in NATO could be the best security guarantee, it remains an unlikely option due to Putin's categorical position that he will reject any settlement of the war on such terms.
The West must act more decisively
Despite everything, the author calls on the West to take more decisive action, emphasizing the need for a sharp increase in the supply of weapons and financial aid to Ukraine. He criticizes the position of some Western politicians who believe that Ukraine's current support is enough to cause Putin losses, arguing that it only reinforces the Russian leader's belief in the weakness and disunity of the West.
