The president of the Association of Ukrainian Banks, Andriy Dubas, predicts that the dollar exchange rate will be within 41.3-41.7 UAH per dollar by the end of 2024. He noted that there are several factors that could affect the rate's decline, including the influx of foreign financial aid, negotiations and the US election.
Dubas emphasized that it is still possible to predict the dollar exchange rate at the end of 2024, but in 2025, various factors may arise that will significantly affect the exchange rate. He also emphasized that the exchange rate set in the budget is not a directive for the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU), which independently sets the exchange rate of the hryvnia to the dollar based on the purchase and sale of foreign currency.
Dubas noted that the exchange rate of the hryvnia against the dollar is subject to constant fluctuations, both daily and seasonal. He noted that the government may plan the rate in the budget, but the actual rate may differ by the end of the year.
Analyst Oleksiy Kozyrev believes that the dollar exchange rate on the cash market can reach the level of UAH 42-43 per dollar. According to him, the strengthening of the American currency on the international market in combination with the devaluation of the hryvnia in Ukraine will lead to a gradual appreciation of the dollar.
