In the autumn-winter period, Ukraine may face serious problems in the energy sector, including possible power outages from 12 to 20 hours a day. This information was announced by the experts of the Center for Combating Disinformation (CCP), stressing the difficult situation with energy resources in the country.
Yurii Korolchuk, an expert at the Institute of Energy Strategies, considers several possible scenarios for the development of the situation in the energy sector in the autumn-winter period, depending on the course of events.
The optimistic scenario assumes that 8-9 NPP power units will work stably, and the winter will be mild, without severe frosts. In this case, it is possible to restore about 3 GW (3,000 megawatts) of the 6 GW of damaged capacity, which will lead to blackouts of up to 12 hours a day.
The pessimistic scenario envisages restoration of only about 2,000 megawatts of power under conditions of operation of 6-7 NPP power units and a cold winter. In this case, the energy system may face a crisis.
In the worst-case scenario, if Russia continues its attacks on Ukrainian energy, citizens will have to spend up to 20 hours a day without electricity and heating.
According to the forecast of the member of the energy committee of the Verkhovna Rada Serhiy Nagornyak, at a temperature of -10°C in winter, Ukrainians will probably have access to electricity only 12-14 hours a day, the remaining 10 hours will have to do without electricity.
The CPSU also emphasized that significant hopes are placed on Western aid. During the official visit to the USA, the Ukrainian delegation agreed with American government officials and businesses on a strategy for the rapid recovery and modernization of the Ukrainian energy system. In particular, the USA allocated an aid package to Ukraine in the amount of $800 million to strengthen energy security.
