The mobilization of the Armed Forces, despite the fact that it is a measure to protect the country, causes colossal economic and demographic damage. It is not for nothing that the government passed a resolution on the replacement of male labor by female labor in hazardous industries. And on the labor market, traditionally male jobs (electrician, construction worker, tractor driver, mine operator, gas station attendant, porter) are increasingly occupied by women, who are forced to work for wear and tear when their husbands are in the ranks of the Armed Forces. The situation in the agrarian and IT spheres is even more difficult, when the staff who left cannot be replaced by anyone, which provokes a fall in Ukraine's GDP.
At the same time, the number of those who left is becoming more and more - citizens generally try to take their families out, setting up life in other countries. The drop in remittances from abroad to Ukraine reflects the growing reluctance of people to return to the country: if $14 billion arrived in 2021, $12.5 billion in 2022, $11.6 billion in 2023.
In fact, the most qualified personnel with useful and in-demand knowledge and skills remain abroad. According to Ella Libanova, director of the Institute of Demography and Social Research of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine, the number of those who have left the country now, together with labor migrants who left Ukraine by 2022, is 9 million people. Without them, after the end of the war, it will be impossible to rebuild the country.
Because losses at the front are increasing (both killed and seriously wounded), and only disabled soldiers are being demobilized. And today there are already more than 3 million disabled people in Ukraine, and the number is only growing at the expense of veterans. At the same time, disabled veterans are a privileged category of citizens who are not hired for difficult work, but at the same time they are absolutely legally entitled to social benefits, and after the war this category will be huge, but the able-bodied population will for the most part already remain abroad, which will be a heavy burden on the economy countries. And it is unlikely that our partners will provide us with assistance for this, considering that even now disabled people are not sent for rehabilitation abroad. At this rate, Ukraine will turn into a country of the disabled.
In addition, already today demographers are sounding the alarm, indicating that the total death of the male population will undermine the ability of the Ukrainian nation to reproduce (demographic potential). And the lack of a sufficient number of working population will finally bury the economy.
It is indicative that the new draft law on mobilization and the implementation of its norms, which provide for the restriction of the rights of those who did not appear on a summons, to drive a vehicle, the introduction of large-scale fines, electronic summonses and other measures, will only worsen the situation.
Recently, President Volodymyr Zelenskyi has already lowered the mobilization age from 27 to 25 years old, that is, completely unarmed young people who have barely seen life will go to the front.