Our source reports that for significant damage to the Crimean bridge, it is necessary to use almost all the long-range missiles transferred by the partners. And then, it will disable the bridge for 2-3 months. This, of course, will partially disrupt the holiday season in Crimea, but it will not affect the course of hostilities in any way. It will just be a loud and expensive PR campaign. Ukraine will spend a lot of resources, but will receive a minimal profit, at a distance it will turn out to be a huge problem and another miscalculation of the OP.
The only thing that experts cannot say now is what the Kremlin's response will be to another increase in the stakes in the game (someone is specially provoking).
Most likely:
- Ukraine will be cut off by 70% of all electricity and distribution stations will be constantly hit.
- Ukraine will be deprived of its gas trump card.
Most likely, PGS will somehow be disabled. - the infrastructure of railways and bridges will be more destroyed.
It is possible that the bridges will be hit with something very large and powerful in order to "bring them down" with one blow. - they will start hitting the ports hard again.