The Kremlin goes back to the attack - this time not rockets, but negotiations. Political scientist Andriy Miselyuk warns that Putin is preparing a new special operation - a special negotiation operation (PPI). Its purpose is not to reach a compromise, but to impose the Kremlin scenario of the end of the war. And Istanbul should be a key platform for the implementation of this plan.
Against the backdrop of Trump's possible return to the White House, the Russian dictator tries to use his weakness again, as has happened in 2018 in Helsinki. Then the world saw a humiliated American president, and Putin left the meeting with the winner. And now he is ready for revenge - already against the whole event, with Ukraine at the forefront of this special operation.
Putin begins SP - a special negotiation operation
In order to understand the scale of these dangers, it is necessary to understand the key from the outset: this is not about diplomacy, Putin is preparing a large -scale special service in Istanbul. The task of this operation is to separate the main opponents (Ukraine, the USA, Europe), to prevent their coordinated opposition to Moscow and to impose a key actor - President Trump - their approaches to the end of the war in Ukraine. Followed by the implementation of these approaches into practice.
What tools and means to Putin will overlay Trump and at what points of vulnerability of the US president will be pressed, at one time I spread on the shelves before their meeting in Helsinki in 2018. So it turned out - then their sparring ended in a shameful defeat for Trump.
Since then, experienced Gebist Putin has studied Trump with all his vulnerability and weaknesses. And, of course, to a new sparring with him (both personal and in absentia) in Istanbul is ready. In order to repeat his success in Helsinki.
But it is more important to us now that serious threats have arisen before our country after sudden and inevitable direct negotiations with the Russian Federation about the conditions of peace this Thursday in Istanbul.
So, here is the list of five such biggest threats.
- The threat of negotiations with Moscow alone without the effective support of European allies.
- Simultaneous pressure on President Zelensky by Putin and Trump so that in the reconciliation of the journey to the "hot phase" of war and war as a whole, Ukraine quickly agreed to Russia (and problematic for Ukraine) without obtaining reliable security guarantees.
- The consent of the United States to partial withdrawal of sanctions against Russia as a reward for goodwill and "peacekeeping" of Putin, the willingness of the Russian president to make a non -fundamental humanitarian concessions (exchange of prisoners, access of representatives of individual international organizations to the front line, etc.
- The consent of the Trump administration to terminate or substantially restrict Ukraine support as a reward for Putin's willingness to support the introduction of a ceasefire regime - so that this consent begins immediately after the ceasefire regime begins.
- The implementation of the Russians in the Istanbul series of provocations for a sharp disruption of the negotiation process at the same time as large -scale propaganda and media campaigns with the accusation of Ukraine of disrupting these negotiations.
This, of course, is not an exhaustive list of serious threats and challenges that came to our country after Putin and Trump in four hands were squeezed by the Istanbul talking track on May 15.
The time to prepare effective answers to them is very limited.
Considering the presence of many years of experience in the official experience of Ukraine in the conditions of war with Russia (since 2014), there is reason to hope that our winners in Istanbul will be able to disrupt the competent, but still template-sore-painter of the special special operation of the special service of the special service of Putin.
Just as our defense forces with the support of the whole society managed to disrupt his special military operation.
