Western analysts warn that Russia is preparing a new offensive in the north of the Kharkiv region, noting that Russian troops are likely to consolidate their reserves to create the Northern Group, which is closer to the planned final strength. According to the American Institute for the Study of War, these actions are aimed at preparing for a further offensive in the north of the region.
The institute's analysis shows that the Russian command, most likely, is waiting for the right moment to intensify offensive operations and move to the second phase, because their plans provide for groups of 50 to 70 thousand people. After capturing Vovchansk, Russian forces are expected to begin a second phase of the operation in the northern direction, although Ukrainian counterattacks may force them to launch another exciting offensive to complete this operation.
Currently, Russian troops are trying to create a "buffer zone" in the north of the Kharkiv region and are moving within the range of the Kharkiv artillery. However, certain uncertainties remain regarding the purpose of the second phase of the operation, whether Russian forces have more ambitious strategic plans. Analysts note that even with the maximum number of the group, the Russian forces will feel the lack of manpower to successfully capture the city of Kharkiv.
Regarding the situation at the front, according to the information of the General Staff, Russian troops continue active operations in the Kharkiv direction. Ukrainian troops have successfully repelled six out of six enemy attacks and are holding defensive lines in the Kupyansk direction. Opponents are also unsuccessfully trying to improve their tactical position in Myasozharivka and Novoyehorivka districts. In general, the level of assaults in this direction increased to 14, and half of them were repulsed by Ukrainian forces, seven more are ongoing.
The President of Ukraine, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, stated that Russian losses in this offensive exceeded Ukraine's losses by eight times.
