Donald Trump's policy in the Middle East may have direct consequences for Ukraine, as the US president may reconsider his support for Kyiv amid worsening relations with allies.
A war against Iran is weakening US President Donald Trump's political position and undermining his key tools of influence, The Economist writes, analyzing the consequences of his foreign policy.
According to the publication, the conflict creates several problems for Trump at once. In particular, he loses the opportunity to shape a favorable political reality for himself, put pressure on partners and maintain full control over the Republican Party. In addition, the war contributes to the rise in oil prices, which increases economic pressure.
Tensions between the US and its allies surfaced during discussions over the Strait of Hormuz. Trump called on his partners to help open it, warning of negative consequences for NATO if they refused. However, the allies did not support this initiative, after which the US president changed his rhetoric.
Analysts believe that if his political position weakens further, Trump may resort to more drastic and unpredictable steps. Possible scenarios include even revising US commitments within NATO.
In this context, Ukraine also finds itself at risk. The publication assumes that Trump may reduce or completely stop support for Kyiv, using this as a tool to pressure European partners.
In addition, among the potential steps of the American president are increased pressure on Latin American countries under the pretext of fighting crime, financial demands on allies in Asia, and a tough tariff policy.
Even if such scenarios are not fully realized, their very emergence could significantly undermine the US alliance system. This, in turn, creates additional opportunities for China and Russia to increase their influence on the global stage.
