Ukraine is planning a strategic course for 2024, focusing on strengthening the country's defense power, mass-producing drones and expanding its own weapons production. The Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, Colonel-General Valery Zaluzhnyi, noted these directions in the new strategy, which found support in Bankova.
The plans also call for further strikes on Russian rear lines, including military facilities and infrastructure such as energy, refineries, ports and military-industrial complex enterprises.
Ukraine hopes to use these measures to weaken the enemy and create prerequisites for a new offensive by the Armed Forces in 2025. While Russia rarely expresses its strategic intentions, two possible vectors of action can be distinguished.
One of the vectors is the war of attrition strategy, which is to gradually disable Ukraine by strengthening the front and using Russia's superiority in numbers and weapons. However, this strategy not only carries the risks of prolonging the conflict, but can also face difficulties such as the impossibility of predicting the timing and actual losses.
Another option is an attempt to drastically shift the balance of power at the front without using nuclear weapons. However, this could be a difficult task as Russia is also developing its military technology, including drones and artificial intelligence.
For Ukraine, this could mean severe tests at the front, especially if Russia decides to make a new offensive, which could happen after mobilization. Regardless of the strategy chosen, the outcome will depend on many factors, including the ability of both parties to mobilize their resources and provide effective leadership.
