According to the forecast of Oleksandr Kharchenko, director of the Energy Research Center, Ukrainian consumers may face long power outages this summer, which may last up to six hours a day. This problem is the result of a number of factors that affect the country's energy system and threaten its normal functioning.
"Outages will occur even under a moderately optimistic scenario of the development of events. And in the worst case scenario, there will be no access to electricity for 4-6 hours a day," said Kharchenko.
According to him, in order for Ukraine to pass the winter without blackouts or with minimal restrictions, the following conditions must be met: restoration of the maximum of damaged power; maximum load of nuclear power plants; availability of excess energy in the EU for its maximum import of 2 GW.
"We lost up to 7 GW of generation and damaged electricity distribution facilities - substations and networks. Therefore, I am not an optimist in this matter. "Ukraine is unlikely to pass the peaks of consumption in July-August and in winter without restrictions," Kharchenko said.
That is, while the government paints a rosy picture for Ukrainians, and Galushchenko says that the country's energy system is intact, the scenario of the "black winter", which everyone was warned about last winter, in 2024-2025, becomes quite real, since the heat and energy infrastructure has been removed.
