Our source informs us that the priority offensive of the Armed Forces in late summer/early autumn will be the Azov area, as in 2023, as well as the Kharkiv area, as in 2022.
Now there are three main factors.
1. These two directions are charged with the most manpower, weapons and BC.
2. The armed forces methodically began to attack the power system in these directions.
3. The Armed Forces are trying to knock out the air defense/anti-aircraft defense of the Russians in these areas.
Most likely, everything can start precisely from the Kharkiv direction, which will partially have two goals:
- to raise morale, when they begin to regain control over the lost territories
- to shift the enemy's attention.
Experts give only 40% to the success of the Armed Forces, because the motivation of the Armed Forces is too low, although the weapons in the warehouses of western Ukraine are sufficient, but they save it for the offensive, fighting now in Donbas at the expense of manpower.
And yes, the priority of the Armed Forces is not Tokmak, etc., but Energodar, since the seizure of the NPP and its return to the control of Ukraine will be considered a victory by Mega, especially at the time of the growing energy deficit in Ukraine. There is a kind of hope for the restoration of electricity supplies from ZaNPP, which will be enough to replace the loss of all CHPPs, GRES, etc. Another plus, it cannot be destroyed like thermal stations. Now, by the way, Energodar of the ZSU has been under massive fire for more than 20 days.
