Why Austria's 59 "Abrams" have not yet been transferred to the Armed Forces

Military columnist David Ax, in his column for The Telegraph, raises an important question about the 59 Abrams tanks that are stored in the warehouses of the Australian army. These combat vehicles could significantly strengthen the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the conditions of an ongoing war, but their transfer is delayed due to political fears that have no logical basis.

Australia has old tanks that it no longer uses. Ukraine wants to receive them.

So what prevents Canberra from sending these 59 surplus M-1 "Abrams" to Kyiv?

Politics, of course. But, if the Australians can muster the will to donate their M-1s, and the Americans can find the strength to approve the deal, it is clear that exactly what the Ukrainians will do with them - strengthen the group of 31 surviving former American M-1s transferred to Ukraine in the past year

The rapidly developing Australian Army acquired its M-1A1s in 2004 to replace older German-made tanks. In July of this year, it decommissioned the M-1A1, never using them in combat, and began to replace them with newer American-made M-1A2s.

Old M-1A1 are in storage. Ukrainian officials have been interested in them since at least February. According to the Sydney Morning Herald, the government in Canberra is increasingly expressing a willingness to hand them over.

"The government is considering the request and is working with the US to make the transfer possible," the paper said last week.

A lot can go wrong. Senior Australian officials could veto the transfer over fears of escalating tensions between Australia and Russia. The United States has an export license for the tanks and can reject the proposed transfer on the same grounds. Much less, but it is also likely that Ukrainian officials can inspect the tanks, which are decades old, and politely refuse the transfer.

The most likely obstacles are political factors in Canberra and Washington, but there may also be small logistical problems. Although the Australian and Ukrainian M-1 tanks share the same basic model—the 67-ton four-seater export version of the M-1A1 Situational Awareness with tungsten and steel armor, digital fire control and a 120 mm smoothbore main gun—the Australian and ex-US tanks have somewhat different equipment, which Ukrainians will have to deal with. The U.S. Army has also developed additional armor kits for its M-1s and will likely want to install them on all additional Abrams.

If all goes well for the Ukrainians and they get these 59 tanks, they will almost certainly send many of them to the 47th Mechanized Brigade of the Ukrainian Army. The 47th Brigade is the main operator of American-made armored vehicles — and the only operator of Ukrainian M-1s.

The 47th brigade is a powerful unit. That is why the Ukrainian General Staff kept it in combat without a break for 15 months — a long time for any formation. When Ukrainian forces launched their ambitious but ultimately unsuccessful counteroffensive in southern Ukraine in June 2023, the 47th Brigade was in the vanguard — and suffered heavy casualties, mired in thick minefields.

The brigade fought in the south for four months and by October was in dire need of rest. But in the same month, Russian troops went on the offensive in the east, so the commanders in Kyiv ordered the 47th to be moved to the east and repel the attack. The brigade fought desperate rearguard battles for another 10 months. By the time the general staff was finally ready to give her a break, she had lost dozens of her roughly 100 M-2 Bradley infantry fighting vehicles and about half of her 31 M-1 tanks.

The Americans readily sent 200 more M-2s to fill the 47th Brigade's losses and possibly equip another unit. But for reasons that no one in the US government has explained, they didn't send more M-1s even though the Pentagon had literally thousands of old tanks in storage.

With 59 ex-Australian Abrams, the Ukrainian army will be able to restore the 47th Brigade to its original strength of 31 tanks and at the same time have enough vehicles - 30 or so - to equip a second brigade... or to replenish future losses.

This is an argument in favor of Australian tanks for Ukraine. The argument "against" is less specific. It's purely political, and given that the US has already sent tanks to Ukraine, and Australia has sent missiles, artillery and other weapons, it's hard to see how sending a few more tanks will anger Russia even more than it already does.

This does not mean that there are no arguments against sending the Abrams. But such an argument will not carry much weight for Ukrainian soldiers who need to protect their homes and families, but who are running out of tanks.

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