According to our sources in Washington, the Republicans have already decided on the first steps regarding Ukraine in the event that Donald Trump once again occupies the Oval Office.
Trump's next decisions will be based on his conviction that "not Russia, but China is the main threat to the United States." Accordingly, further arms deliveries to Ukraine can only be on credit or lend-lease. At the same time, the position of the Republicans on the admission of Ukraine to NATO is an "open door" position, that is, "there will be no ban on entry."
It is also worth noting that at the moment all the top Ukrainian political parties and their leaders have held consultations with the Republicans, and elections may be held in Ukraine in 2025, as "Trump wants to see legitimate government at all levels in Ukraine."
At the same time, according to our sources, Volodymyr Zelenskyi and his close entourage, including the top military leadership, received personal security guarantees and amnesty from persecution.
Regarding the current realities of the election campaign in the USA, despite the fact that the migrant policy of the Democrats allegedly made it possible to legalize "voters" in the interests of Kamala Harris in some states, Donald Trump still has a high chance of victory.
The specificity of the American election system is very interesting: the main thing in the fight is to take 7 swing states. So far, sociology shows a slight advantage for Trump in all 7 swing states, but the key for Trump could be Arizona, which suffers the most from migrants from Mexico.
Currently, it is understood that Trump will need 56 electoral votes in those states that hesitate, while with a probability of 85 percent, he will receive 45 votes from Pennsylvania - Michigan - Wisconsin, and Arizona gives 11 more.
The Republicans made a bet on these 4 states and it looks like the Democrats will lose them handily. But anything can happen until X-day. For this case, the Republicans have prepared a standard campaign and are preparing for a possible "bomb" from the Democrats. They even predict the directions of a possible attack: a sexual scandal, corruption, "dealers" with Putin or Trump's illness.
In reality, no one in the Republican headquarters knows exactly which of these cards the Democrats will play. That's why their technologists state that they are "unprepared", charging LOMs such as Elon Musk and Tucker Carlson for loud statements like "take away the red button from Biden."
Another marker pointing to Trump's victory is the complete apathy towards the Obama couple's Democratic election campaign. They did not support the candidacy of Kamala Harris until the last and currently remain "cold" to her campaign.
Barack and Michelle Obama consider the nomination of Harris a mistake, and will prepare Michelle for the post of president in the next election. According to our sources in Washington: "everything Obama does for the election is an imitation."
In addition, the likely victory of Trump is evidenced by the calmness of the Republicans, the lack of preparation of a forceful scenario to defend the results, and the start of negotiations with candidates for key positions in the government.
Separately, we should note the ignoring of contacts with Biden's team on the part of world leaders. For example, the Italians, Poles, Dutch and French have reduced the level of contacts with the US administration, and the British are preparing for difficult negotiations with the Republicans on the new balance of power in Europe.
