The influential British edition of The Times published an analysis of four realistic scenarios for the end of the war in Ukraine. The article deals with both positive and negative variants of events, but they are all based on a key factor - the need for international support, in particular from the United States.
The four scenarios of the end of the war are written by The Times.
Journalists point out that the process of termination of hostilities can take place both by "freeze" of war and through peace talks.
The first script is the worst. If Russian ruler Vladimir Putin disagrees in peace talks and Ukraine will lose military support from the United States. Under such conditions, Kyiv will break and, after all, Ukraine will be defeated.
The second script is a bad peace. It also implies the defeat of Ukraine. It is also possible to separate the Ukrainian territories.
"No Trump Nobel Prize in this case," The Times writes.
The third scenario is the ceasefire. If the truce becomes part of the effective settlement of war and the real end of the conflict. This will allow Ukraine to "survive". The Trump administration is well aware that only the stop of hostilities only "froze" the war and does not solve problems. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio has already rejected the "freezing" of war.
The fourth script is peace talks. In such a scenario, the United States will contribute to the peaceful negotiations of Ukraine and the Russian Federation from the standpoint of force, it also provides security guarantees for Kiev. In this case, the Russians will be further delayed by the sanction shimmer, and the United States will support Ukraine, both financially and weapons, if the Kremlin does not agree to the agreement.
We will remind, Kit Kellogg, selected by Donald Trump Special Representative for Ukraine, was tasked with completing the conflict in 100 days. However, experts doubt the independence of his actions and the success of the mission.
