Ukraine's national debt: growth in July 2024

Ukraine's public debt continues to grow rapidly, reaching new heights and deepening economic dependence on external creditors. In July this year, the volume of public debt increased by 2.1%, which is equivalent to $3.20 billion. At the end of the month, the amount of public debt reached $155.4 billion.

If we look at the situation since the beginning of the year, the growth is 6.9%, and since the beginning of the war, it has been as much as 66.5% (or $62 billion).

External Debt:
External debt increased by $2.9 billion in July, mainly due to loans from the IMF. Debt to external creditors accounts for 68.7% of total public debt, having more than doubled since the start of the war.

The largest creditors:

The European Union is Ukraine's largest external creditor, with a debt of $40 billion (over 25% of the national debt). Since the beginning of the war, the debt to the EU has increased almost 8 times.

Holders of foreign bonds are in second place with a portfolio of $19.7 billion (13% of the state debt). However, under this item, the debt has decreased by 14% since the beginning of the war.
The IMF has jumped to third place – $16.49 billion (10% of the state debt). Debt to the fund has increased 1.9 times since the beginning of the war.

World Bank. The debt to it is $14.7 billion (9% of the national debt), an increase of 2.4 times since the beginning of the war.

Canada is Ukraine's largest national creditor, with a debt to it of over $5 billion (3% of the national debt).

Domestic debt. The debt to holders of domestic government bonds accounts for 26% of the total government debt. In July, this debt increased by $200 million, and since the beginning of the war, by 17% (to $40.7 billion).

According to forecasts, the ratio of public debt to GDP could reach 80% in 2024, creating serious challenges for the country's further economic growth. How long can the economy sustain such a rate of borrowing?

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