Factors that have the greatest influence on the dollar exchange rate, according to the NBU's strategy

The financial market now operates under a regime of managed flexibility, noting that the regulator, although it does not set the rate, controls it through timely interventions.

Taras Lesovy, a banker, explained that exchange rate changes will largely depend on the ratio of supply and demand on the foreign exchange market. He also emphasized that there are currently no potentially threatening circumstances that could radically change the market situation.

Lesovy noted that possible changes in the exchange rate will be rather situational, especially a decrease in the exchange rate due to achieving a balance between supply and demand.

As for forecasts, Lesovy believes that changes on the interbank market will not exceed 0.2 hryvnias, and on the cash market - 0.5 hryvnias. It also provides that the difference between the buying and selling rates will be at the level of 0.1 hryvnia at an interbank, 0.5 hryvnia at commercial banks and 1 hryvnia at exchange offices.

The exchange rate, according to Lesovoy's forecast, will be as follows: at the interbank — 38.5-39.25 hryvnias per dollar and 41.5-43 hryvnias per euro; on the cash market - 38.8 - 39.9 hryvnias per dollar and 41 - 43 hryvnias per euro.

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