The probability of an attack of Russian troops on Kharkiv in the near future

According to the analytical material of ISW, there is an opinion that the possibility of a ground operation of the troops of the Russian Federation against Kharkiv in the near future is unlikely. However, American experts note that this may happen in the spring, taking into account the preparation of the Russian Federation for the creation of strategic reserves and the regrouping of forces at the front.

According to the analysis, the threat of a possible attack by Russian troops on Kharkiv or Sumy forces the Armed Forces of Ukraine to reconsider the allocation of limited personnel and equipment for the construction of defense fortifications in these regions.

The Russian armed forces are able to mobilize significant resources, hoping for a breakthrough in areas of the front of their own choosing. In addition, they can use areas of the front that were previously vulnerable due to the transfer of manpower and equipment of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.

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