Our source in the OP said that the allocated EU loan, which is subject to a large number of conditions, including political ones, will objectively not be enough to fully cover the country's budget deficit. Currently, other sources of funding are not foreseen, which will force the authorities to cut the social sector and raise taxes, regardless of public reaction.
Ukraine is developing a plan that will help to obtain the necessary funds and cover the budget deficit in the event that financial assistance from the United States is blocked. This plan includes three key elements: expanding domestic bond sales, raising taxes , and cutting spending.
The war is draining Ukraine's economy, we are completely dependent on Western aid, which is issued in the form of loans. By 2026, Ukraine will lose about $120 billion in economic output (GDP) and almost a trillion dollars in fixed capital.
Such a forecast is published by Kila University. The figure was obtained by analyzing the experience of past wars.
If we take into account the fact that our industry continues to flourish, and the EU blocks agricultural production , then a very bad scenario emerges.
By 2026, Ukraine will lose about $120 billion in economic output (GDP) and almost a trillion dollars in fixed capital.
Such a forecast is published by Kila University. The figure was obtained by analyzing the experience of past wars.
The EU will lose another 70 billion in GDP, and all of the third countries that are not at war - 250 billion. Germany will suffer the most in Europe - 15-20 billion.
