Exchange rates: what to expect from the dollar and euro this week

The hryvnia continues to lose ground on the foreign exchange market. Analyst Oleksiy Kozyrev predicts that the dollar exchange rate in Ukraine will remain relatively stable by the end of the current week:

  • In banks: UAH 41.25–42.10/dollar;
  • In exchange offices of financial companies: UAH 41.35–42.00/dollar.

The euro exchange rate, according to the expert, will fluctuate somewhat more widely:

  • In banks: UAH 43.15–44.65/euro;
  • In exchange offices of financial companies: UAH 43.20–44.60/euro.

The specialist pays attention to maintaining a wide spread (the difference between the buying and selling rates), especially for the euro. In banks and exchange offices, this indicator can reach 20-25 kopecks for the dollar and up to 35 kopecks for the euro. If there are significant fluctuations in the euro on the international market, exchangers can adjust their price tags several times a day, increasing the gap between the buying and selling rates to 35-40 kopecks.

On the interbank foreign exchange market, a corridor for the dollar is expected at the level of 41.40–41.85 hryvnias/dollar. This indicates a tendency towards a gradual weakening of the hryvnia.

Due to the interdependence of the euro/dollar and dollar/hryvnia currency pairs, the interbank euro exchange rate will fluctuate between UAH 43.22-44.36/euro.

The official course of the NBU

On Wednesday, December 4, the National Bank of Ukraine set the official exchange rate:

  • Dollar: UAH 41.70 (+5 kopecks);
  • Euro: UAH 43.82 (+10 kopecks).

The hryvnia weakening trends are likely to persist due to seasonal fluctuations in demand for the currency and the influence of international markets. Investors and citizens should carefully monitor the situation and be guided by forecasts for making financial decisions.

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