The Russians cannot do anything with the Ukrainian bridgehead in Krynk, despite their superiority. Military commentator Oleksandr Kovalenko explains why this is happening and what can be expected next.
Krynk...
Currently, there is only talk about the expansion of the bridgehead on the left bank. Where exactly, who knows? But they say that in Krynk. On the other hand, we have been hearing about the bridgehead in Krynky for a long time. Are we hearing about the bridgehead in the wrong Krynk? Krynks are different, or...?
For understanding, Krynky is a village with a length of more than 12 km. It is stretched out, and when it comes to the bridgehead in Krynky, it is not about the whole village. Kherson, for example, with a length of 19 km along the right bank. And you about Krynyk.
But…
But it is a very inconvenient location for ROV Krynka, and here is why.
tactical groups , with the number of almost two brigades, were specially formed to squeeze out the SOU from the left bank in Krynyky These groups operated on the flanks, from Kozachi Lageri-Krynka, Korsunka-Krynka, and frontally from route 2206 through the forest massif.
In addition, the command of the ROV continued to build up the "Dnepr" troop group, and if in November 2023 there were 64,000 troops, now it is already 77,000 troops. In addition, the "Dnepr" HV is armed with:
- tanks - about 400 units;
- BBM — 1,100 units;
- barrel artillery - 500 units;
- RSZV — up to 100 units.
But the effectiveness of the actions of such a group is reduced by the lack of control over the road of the first frontier and the dependence of all logistics chains on 2206. For its part, 2206 is in the zone of damage not only by the artillery of the SOU from the right bank, but also by the activity of drones.
The left bank of the Kherson region is exactly the case when drones can reveal their full functionality, without critical countermeasures from EW. This is due to the fact that for the effective operation of EW, these complexes must be in the zone of damage by SOU artillery, and therefore the main hope is on EW trenches with limited capabilities.
In the end, what do we have?
The village is 12 km long, with several streets, but it is stretched to such an extent that it is difficult to counter it in a timely manner in each area, especially in conditions of limited logistics. Effective artillery and drone support for a small group that does not even have anti-aircraft missiles. All this leads to the fact that gradually the ROVs, unable to oppose the expansion of the bridgehead, begin to lose new areas. In turn, the distraction of attention to new areas reduces the effectiveness of tactical groups of the ROV operating near Krynyk.
It was not for nothing that Krynyk was chosen as the basis for expanding the influence of SOU on the left bank. This is not only a very difficult area to block by the enemy, but also an actual agglomeration with Kozachy Tabor and Korsunka, with all the prospects arising from this.