The war in Ukraine may end in 2025 through diplomatic means, notes The New York Times columnist Julian Barnes. In his material, he analyzes military dynamics, economic pressures and the political situation that point to the possibility of reaching a compromise.
He believes that this would have happened regardless of the outcome of the US elections, since "both Ukraine and Russia are experiencing a lack of troops," but Trump's victory "will speed up these peace talks."
"This is bad news for Ukraine. Russian troops are advancing to the east. Ukraine still has weapons, but its troops are scattered. Intelligence services believe that it will soon run out of soldiers. Republicans do not want to approve additional aid to Ukraine, and Kiev knows that without a significant increase in aid, the fight will soon be over," Barnes writes.
He believes that the key issue for Ukraine will not be the issue of territories, but security guarantees for the future. At the same time, membership in NATO is "not considered." Trump may want to be seen as seeking concessions from Putin. And he will incline Putin, for example, to allow Ukraine some economic integration with Europe.
