Putin's military goals go beyond Ukraine – ISW

Russian dictator Vladimir Putin's military goals are not limited to war against Ukraine, according to American analysts who analyzed his recent public statements.

The report notes that the Kremlin continues to present a full-scale war as a "direct consequence" of the West's disregard for Russia's interests, primarily the expansion of the North Atlantic Alliance, which Moscow is trying to portray as a threat to its own security.

Analysts say this rhetoric suggests that Putin will not be satisfied with any peaceful settlement that concerns only Ukraine. In their view, the Kremlin is pushing for much broader demands, including a radical overhaul of the entire European security system and a de facto revision of NATO's role.

The article also explains that fulfilling the ultimatums that Russia issued in late 2021 and that Putin reiterated in his speech on January 15, 2026, would lead to the collapse of the Alliance. This, in turn, would mean a radical revision of the security architecture in Europe in favor of Moscow.

Analysts point out that Putin has repeatedly demonstrated that his demands are much broader than those contained in the proposed peace plans. He remains committed to his original military goals for 2021-2022, which go beyond territorial issues and are not limited to Ukraine.

Putin's statements

On January 15, during a ceremony to receive credentials from ambassadors from 34 countries, Putin spoke of “peace,” while effectively threatening Ukraine with continued war. He suggested “ returning to a substantive discussion of Russia’s initiatives for a new and fair security architecture ” and once again placed responsibility for the war on Kyiv.

According to the dictator, " the crisis around Ukraine was a direct consequence of ignoring Russia's interests " and advancing NATO to its borders, despite the West's alleged public promises not to do so. Separately, he declared the "degradation" of the international situation, accusing Western countries of replacing diplomacy with unilateral and dangerous actions.

Analysts consider these statements to be yet another confirmation that the Kremlin is using peaceful rhetoric not to seek compromise, but to advance much broader geopolitical goals.

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