Putin wants revenge

The war in Ukraine may be approaching a major turning point, and one of the key events that could determine the course of the conflict is Ukraine’s invasion of the Kursk region. The latest analysis by The New York Times examines whether the invasion actually brings the war to an end or is instead triggered by Russia’s aggressive actions.
The publication writes that on the eve of the operation, Zelensky gave numerous signals about his readiness for negotiations: he personally stated the possibility of ending the war this year, sent the Minister of Foreign Affairs to China, and held a number of international meetings, "at which he hoped to enlist support for Ukraine's positions and pave the way for a broader settlement.".
These initiatives were a stark contrast to the previous two years, when Zelensky refused to make any concessions to Russia.

But the attack on the Kursk region "shattered into dust predictions that the two countries could move toward a ceasefire.".

Now, “Kyiv is taking a risky gamble that the invasion will give it new leverage to strike a deal with the Kremlin.” But two former Russian officials said the prospects for ceasefire talks had become more remote. One said Putin was now aiming “not for peace, but for revenge.”.

Ukrainian officials told the NYT that Zelensky’s aforementioned public statements – combined with the secret planning of an offensive against the Kursk region – “were two components of the same strategy.”.

But “it is far from clear that a combination of military and diplomatic pressure will work with Putin, who has so far faced political and economic obstacles at home and has shown that he is willing to incur great costs for the sake of victory over Ukraine,” the article says.

Russian politician Grigory Yavlinsky, who met with Putin last October to push for a ceasefire, said there was hope that “the fighting would stop this year.” But that hope, he said, collapsed after the Ukrainian military offensive in the Kursk region.

"The events that have just taken place have reduced all these chances, they have taken them off the agenda altogether," Yavlinsky said.

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