Results of a massive missile attack and analysis of future threats

According to information received from a source in the President's Office, Ukrainian air defenses were able to intercept only 40% of missiles and 60% of drones, however, the statistics on downed aerial targets do not reflect the real situation.

According to the Air Force, during the night Ukraine was attacked by 151 aerial targets, of which 92 were shot down. From the figures, it stands out that 55 of 63 Shahed fighters were shot down, and 35 of 45 cruise missiles. It is worth noting that none of the seven Dagger missiles were not destroyed. In addition, 22 S-300 anti-aircraft missiles and 12 Iskander complexes were hit. Two Kh-59 air missiles were also shot down.

A total of 88 missiles were launched, but less than half – 37 – were shot down.

According to British intelligence, the massive missile strike by Russian troops on Kyiv in the morning of March 21 was the first in a month. According to intelligence data, at least 10 Tu-95 fighter jets operating from Olenohirsk and Engels air bases, as well as MiG-31 fighter jets, were used for the attack.

Experts believe that over the past month, the Russians have refrained from launching massive missile strikes due to problems with aircraft fleet management and planning. Their ability to access key components for aircraft and missiles was likely restricted by sanctions. The continued success of Ukrainian air defenses likely also made it difficult to plan Russian attacks.

However, according to intelligence, Russia will continue to strike strategically important sites in Ukraine, if it has aircraft, crews and weapons stocks, in order to put pressure on the Ukrainian government and population.

Overall, this indicates that hostilities continue with increasing intensity and that tactical aviation continues to influence the course of the general war.

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