Russia is preparing an attack on Odessa

Currently, the situation in the south of Ukraine, in particular in Odesa and the Odesa region, looks critical due to the increased activity of Russian troops on the Kinburn spit and in the Dnieper delta. The Russian army is increasing its forces in the region, which creates new threats to strategic objects and civil infrastructure in the south of Ukraine, in particular Odesa. How real is the threat of enemy forces landing in Odesa? Can Russia cut off Ukraine from the Black Sea with the help of Transnistria? Let's look at these questions through the lens of expert analysis.

One of the most dangerous aspects of the situation is the activation of Russian forces on the Kinburn Spit. This strategic facility, located only 60 km from Odessa, can become a base for missile strikes on the city and its port infrastructure. As Ivan Stupak, a former employee of the SBU, emphasizes, Russia aims to control the Kinburn Spit not only to protect Crimea, but also to implement plans to attack Odessa. Missiles, in particular S-300, make it possible to strike Odesa in just a few seconds, which makes the situation critical for the southern region of Ukraine.

As for the Kherson region, the report about the number of Russian boats in the Dnipro delta raises serious concerns. However, according to Stupak, a large amphibious landing or offensive on the right bank of the Dnieper is unlikely due to the difficulty of moving heavy equipment and the constant threat of Ukrainian forces.

Another important component of Russian plans is the use of Transnistria as a springboard for an offensive on Odessa. However, according to Ivan Stupak, Russia has no real opportunities to carry out such an offensive. Transnistria, as the situation shows, is not a military power. Local residents, according to information from Moldova, are not ready for major military operations, and Russian troops are actually absent there. Attempts to use Transnistria to destabilize Ukraine are unlikely to succeed, especially given the problems that exist in Russia itself, both within its special services and in the army.

Another important aspect is the work of the Russian special services in the information space. Russia is actively trying to influence the situation in the southern regions of Ukraine, in particular through social networks and propaganda channels. However, as Stupak notes, due to the effective countermeasures of the Ukrainian special services, these attempts do not have a significant effect. They can influence individual moments, but are not able to seriously destabilize the situation in the region.

As of today, the situation remains tense, but, according to Stupak, a major military operation in southern Ukraine is not an imminent scenario. Russia may try to carry out small sabotage actions, to accumulate forces for further attempts, but the implementation of a plan for a large landing or a full-scale attack on Odesa seems unlikely. In addition, it is strategically important for Ukraine to protect its ports and access to the Black Sea, which is a priority for the Russians.

spot_imgspot_imgspot_imgspot_img

popular

Share this post:

More like this
HERE

Ambassador to Israel has not declared 40 million hryvnias: NAPC check

The National Anti -Corruption Agency has found numerous violations ...

Baba brought out a scheme of export of sunflower products through clean water through Lviv region

The Economic Security Bureau exposed a large -scale smuggling scheme through logistics ...

Demchak acknowledged guilt and escaped prisons: 3 years conditionally and 2 million for the Armed Forces

The Supreme Anti -Corruption Court approved a correspondence agreement on the recognition of guilt ...

Eggs before Easter went up by almost a third: AMCU started checking

On the eve of Easter, the Antimonopoly Committee of Ukraine made a rigid appeal ...

The head of the Ministry of Internal Affairs Service Center has declared Audi, land and cash in currency

Head of the Regional Ministry of Internal Affairs in Kiev Alexander Gorbonos ...

Kharkiv's deputy mayor declared 40 hectares of land near Kiev and $ 300,000

Deputy Mayor of Kharkiv on digital transformation Sergey ...

Corruption in Kiev: Komarnytsky's assistant disappeared after the Opening of NABU cases

The National Anti -Corruption Bureau of Ukraine has wanted two women, ...

Kyiv City Council Secretary and Deputy Mayor may be behind bars

A scandal with signs of political fraud broke out in the Kyiv Council: a decision, ...