The Russian armed forces are actively concentrating troops at three key areas near the border with Ukraine. This was reported by the American Institute for the Study of War (ISW), based on intelligence and surveillance data.
In the Belgorod region, in the Graivoron-Borysivka-Proletarsky district. From here, the offensive can develop in the direction of Zolochiv and Bogoduhiv, northwest of Kharkiv, or westward in the direction of settlements along the P-45 highway connecting Bogoduhiv and Sumy. Or in both directions.
Also, "limited forces" are concentrated in the Kursk and Bryansk regions near the border with the Sumy region.
ISW assumes that in this way the Russian Federation continues to stretch Ukrainian forces, and offensive operations in the direction of Sumy-Kharkiv will be of a limited nature at least until the northern grouping of Russian troops reaches the planned size (yesterday the "Institute" wrote about 50-70 thousand).
However, even in this case, there will not be enough forces to encircle or capture Kharkiv or Sumy.
