According to forecasts by the British publication The Economist , fighting in Ukraine could end as early as 2025. This assumption is based on assessments of the current state of the conflict, in which both sides, Ukraine and Russia, are approaching exhaustion. The publication notes that in Washington, this issue could become a priority for the new administration of Donald Trump, if he wins the US presidential election.
According to his assessment, the United States is running out of money and weapons to help Ukraine, and it still needs to help Israel and Taiwan. Europe has even fewer resources, and Ukraine itself will not be able to cope. Therefore, the likelihood of pressure to conclude a peace agreement is increasing.
The publication believes that Ukraine "will have to come to terms with the loss of part of its territory," is unlikely to join NATO, but some security guarantees are possible.
“In any case, at least for now, it seems highly likely that discussions will begin in 2025, and when that happens, the fighting could slow down dramatically, to the point of a ceasefire. While the talks continue, a semi-frozen conflict could emerge. Imperfect, yes, but much better than the way things are now,” The Economist summarizes.
