After three years of a full -scale war , fighting in Ukraine can exacerbate , and the most fierce battles are probably still ahead. The Independent writes about it , analyzing the current situation at the front.
Will Russia be able to capture Donbas?
According to the British edition, if the dynamics of hostilities does not change , by the end of 2025 Russia may completely occupy Donetsk and Luhansk region . The invaders have an advantage in artillery, aviation and mobilization resources , which allows them to conduct offensive actions even against the background of significant losses.
According to the publication, it is a "heroic assumption" that Ukraine will be in a stronger position next year, because every subsequent anniversary of the invasion weakened the position of Kiev.
“With the current trends, Russia will need by the end of the year to capture the rest of the Donbass, without which the termination of the war is unlikely. Therefore, there are no guarantees that negotiations between the US and Russia will lead to conflict. Unfortunately, this means that the bloodiest battles of the war are still ahead, as the Russian military seeks to maximize their military advantage as much as possible, ”the newspaper writes.
According to the publication, the United States has recently refused to support Ukraine against the backdrop of the public conflict of President of Ukraine Volodymyr Zelensky and US President Donald Trump.
From Trump's point of view, this is Baiden's war that is already lost. And in Trump's political terms, it is much easier to seek peace than his European colleagues, because he was running a campaign with the Antivoevian force, repeatedly stating that the wars would never have happened if he was president.
“Trump wants to find a quick solution and move on. If this fails, he can wash his hands and let the Europeans understand it, ”the article says.
At the same time, Russia does not force Russia to rush to conclude an agreement that it does not like. Moscow's conditions are known: the official recognition that the four regions that it annexed in September 2022, the Crimea is now part of Russia, and the withdrawal of the remaining Ukrainian troops from these regions. Kyiv has to promise constant neutrality, restrictions on its armed forces.
But these conditions are absolutely unacceptable for Kiev. And the only way to impose such an agreement in Kiev is either a complete military collapse of the Ukrainian forces, which is currently unlikely, or a coordinated pressure from a united event in order to accept the conditions of Russia. However, Europeans still insist that Ukraine should continue to fight until they can negotiate from the point of view of force.
The situation at the front
According to ex-speaker of the General Staff of the Armed Forces Vladislav Seleznev, the situation at the front in Ukraine is far from stable, it is extremely difficult especially in the area of the torek cities and the Yar of Donetsk region. In addition, crisis consequences may have a situation that is now unfolding in the Kupyansk direction in Kharkiv region.
We will remind, on February 19 in the monitoring project Deepstate reported that Russian troops seized two settlements in Donetsk region - Dachne and Zelenivka. And on February 21, the invaders entered the newly -reached.
