Our source reports that the priority offensive of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in late summer/early autumn will be the Azov direction, as in 2023, as well as the Kharkiv direction, as in 2022.
There are currently three main factors.
1. The largest number of manpower, weapons, and anti-aircraft defenses are being deployed in these two areas.
2. The Ukrainian Armed Forces have methodically begun to strike at the energy system in these areas.
3. The Ukrainian Armed Forces are trying to knock out Russian air defense/missile defense systems in these areas.
Most likely, everything can start precisely with the Kharkiv direction, which will partly have two goals:
- to raise morale when they begin to regain control over the lost territories
- to shift the enemy's attention.
Experts give only 40% for the success of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, because the motivation of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is too low, although there is enough weapons in warehouses in western Ukraine, they are saving it for the offensive, currently fighting in Donbas at the expense of manpower.
And so, the priority in the Armed Forces of Ukraine is now not Tokmak, etc., but Energodar, since the capture of the nuclear power plant and its return to the control of Ukraine will be considered a mega victory, especially at a time of growing energy deficit in Ukraine. There is a kind of hope for the restoration of electricity supplies from the ZaNPP, which will be enough to replace the loss of all CHPs, GRES, etc. Another plus is that it cannot be destroyed like thermal power plants. By the way, Energodar has been under massive shelling by the Armed Forces of Ukraine for over 20 days now.
