Economist Andrian Prokip draws attention to the new tactics of the Russians in attacks on the energy infrastructure. It has been revealed in recent weeks and may have long-term consequences - with the expectation of next winter.
Cases of destruction by fragments of electric power transmission and distribution lines, as well as gas distribution pipelines, have increased significantly. As a result of such attacks, tens of thousands of subscribers are cut off. The number of attacks and outages increased significantly in February. In some cases, there were interruptions in the heat supply. Only on February 7, two gas pipelines in the Mykolaiv region were damaged.
The tragedy in Kharkiv, when 15 houses burned down and at least 7 people died as a result of drone strikes on an oil depot. Kremenchuk and the critical energy infrastructure in particular were under attack.
The enemy's logic was clear - they were looking for a new shelling tactic. And, apparently, such a new tactic has become — to create serious problems for the supply of coal. For the current winter, which is coming to an end, it does not actually pose a threat. But again, there is a question: how will we get through the next winter?
There is a generation deficit on the left bank, and attacks in regions close to the front line will further exacerbate the deficit and related problems . It is naturally much more difficult to carry out repairs in these regions than in relatively peaceful ones. Therefore, there will be a situation where there are no problems with electricity supply in many regions, which will create a false impression that there are no problems in the power system.
But, in addition to technical problems, we should expect new hostile IPSOs. Their favorite tactic is to divide and digest among themselves. And if there are serious difficulties with electricity supply in the front-line regions, and there will be none in other regions, then we should expect throws aimed at trying to break up the rear and front-line regions.
