An analysis by the Institute for the Study of War predicts that the Ukrainian Armed Forces will be able to overcome many material constraints in the coming weeks thanks to increased supplies of weapons from partners. The forecast also predicts an improvement in the situation due to an increase in the number of personnel due to mobilization.
In the coming weeks, Ukraine will be able to overcome a number of material limitations and deal with issues related to personnel. At the same time, Russia will use its advantages, but Ukraine's capabilities will grow.
After solving the challenges facing the Armed Forces, Ukraine will be able to stabilize the front line "in the coming months." At the same time, at the end of 2024 or the beginning of 2025, it is possible to start limited counteroffensive operations.
Russian forces will continue to experience tactical failures as long as the Armed Forces of Ukraine exploit these failures and the Russian military command makes adaptive changes to correct the mistakes.
Well-equipped Ukrainian forces are likely to be able to prevent an operational Russian advance during the expected Russian offensive in the summer. However, Russian forces will use certain advantages and adaptations to create a significant threat to Ukraine.
Ukrainian forces previously prevented Russian troops from achieving even tactical success during previous offensive operations in Ukraine. And it is unlikely that Russian troops will conduct an offensive operation this summer, which will be much larger and more intense than previous offensives.
