Ukraine is on the verge of a critical point in its development, and further events may have serious consequences for its future. There is a moment in the country's history that volunteer Hennadiy Druzenko calls the "Rubicon" that could end in disaster. According to him, the situation in the country is worsening due to the loss of communication between the government and society, which increases the risk of internal collapse.
THE GHOST OF COLLAPSE
I have already had to write: if this war is destined to be won by one of the sides, then it will be won not on the battlefield, like the Second World War, but through the internal collapse of the enemy's statehood, like the First, when the Russian, German, Ottoman and Austro-Hungarian empires collapsed from the inside , although under the pressure of events at the front.
The Ukrainian government, which is increasingly losing contact with society, risks following the same path. Betting on a fait accompli policy in relations with our Western partners, internal intrigues in which the ruling elite is bogged down, excessive concentration of power in one hand, failure of strategic communications and a critical lack of checks and balances in the power structure can end in disaster.
What is currently happening in the command of the Armed Forces, the Cabinet of Ministers, the NBU, NABU, etc., shows that the constitutional sovereign and the only source of power, that is, the Ukrainian people, has lost any influence over its actions. The authorities do not even try to communicate or explain the change of "more than half of the strength" of the government, the dismissal of the commander of the Air Force of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, the meaning of maintaining a bridgehead in Kurshchyna, if we risk losing Pokrovsk already in September. At the same time, the National Bank of Ukraine, immersed in super-profitable schemes with OVDP instead of financing the army, decided that the most urgent problem of Ukraine today is the replacement of pennies with shags. The TCC, with its corruption and mass supply of completely demotivated "three-day soldiers" to the front (that's what a combatant friend of mine calls them, because they survive on average for three days) only adds fuel to the fire of popular indignation...
Well, the story about how Semen Yuriyovych quarreled with Gizo Tristanovich and what Shabunin was doing here became simply the apogee of the anti-corruption cargo cult, which is impiously used by a bunch of scoundrels. Which, in principle, does not prevent NABU from actively spending budget funds on new cars and other necessities that combat units cannot even dream of...
All this only accumulates among the people questions to which the government does not try to answer - it does not want to hear them. A typical tyrant's mantra is just trust me: “I alone can fix it,” as Donald Trump infamously said. And this mantra works as long as the tyrant is talented. Until Prague, Warsaw, Brussels and Paris quickly fall at the feet of the Führer. But when Stalingrad happens, it just becomes harder to trust. I want to hear arguments, not just assurances "I alone can fix it"...
The questions to the Ukrainian authorities are increasing like a snowball. And simply believing in the star of the "greatest leader of our time" is becoming more and more difficult.
Is there a chance to restore an honest dialogue between the government and the people who bear all the burdens of the war? Are we waiting not for the daily current reports of a tired man, but for a sincere conversation between the leader and the nation, like Roosevelt's "Fireside chats"? I doubt it. Is this a path to disaster? Probably…
But let's not forget that the collapse of the Russian Empire gave birth to Lenin, and the collapse of the Ottoman Empire to Atatürk, who revived their states virtually from the ashes. This is only from our aggressor neighbor: "When we say Russia, we mean Putin, when we say Putin, we mean Russia." Ukraine is not Russia because Ukraine is possible without Kuchma, without Yushchenko, without Yanukovych, without Poroshenko, and without Zelensky as well.
While the Rubicon has not been crossed, there is still time to see our own citizens as partners, not a resource. Start talking with them, not at them. Learn to explain and justify your actions, and not just call to trust the leader — they say, no one but him is capable of winning this war. And finally to turn away the unbalanced system of state management of checks and balances.
Otherwise... However, we didn't have long to wait. We hope for the best - we prepare for the worst.
Like a star above the stubble,
Like Christ in heaven,
Like a holiday of freedom
Under the prime minister, landmines,
Know, Herods, hang yourself, Jews -
There will always be Ukraine!
