The scenario of a “black winter,” which Ukrainians were warned about last winter, is becoming quite real in 2024-2025, as the heating and energy infrastructure has been dismantled. Cities will turn into “dark spots” where it will be impossible to live.
Ukrainian experts are already sounding the alarm, noting that the destruction of the Trypillya TPP, the previous destruction of the Dnieper Hydroelectric Power Plant, and other destroyed generation facilities mean that the country will face a catastrophic electricity shortage in the near future (a simple example is that the energy shortage will begin as soon as the heat begins, because people will turn on their air conditioners). And this is without taking into account further attacks on Ukraine's energy system, which will more than likely continue.
Moreover, Ukraine will not be able to rebuild generation before winter under any circumstances. The damage has been critical, and the destroyed facilities cannot be repaired in the foreseeable future. That is, when the Russian Armed Forces attacked substations last year, it could have been repaired quickly (roughly - rearranged the transformer, glued wires, wrapped some equipment with tape, etc.). But generation is a very serious problem. If it is not possible to maintain the level of electricity, sewage pumps in cities may simply turn off.
