The Office of the President of Ukraine is forced to review the policy of booking employees due to the failure of mobilization campaigns. According to our source in the OP, the country's leadership decided to postpone the issue of lowering the mobilization age until 2025 and focus on a radical revision of the reservation of employees of Ukrainian enterprises.
In particular, until November 15, the possibility of booking through the Diya application has been suspended. At the same time, the Cabinet of Ministers adopted a resolution on reviewing enterprises that have the right to reservation. Their "criticality" criteria will be reviewed and the status of many of them may be revoked. As a result, the employees of such enterprises will lose the right to reservation, which will open an opportunity for their mobilization.
It should be noted that the review of reservations began after President Volodymyr Zelenskyi got acquainted with the data, according to which the number of reserved citizens increased sharply and reached 1.5 million people. This has raised concerns that some of this number may be masking mobilization evasion. According to the results of the checks, the task was set to reduce the number of booked persons by one million, and to send those who lose their bookings to territorial recruitment centers (TCC).
"The plan is to deprive the companies of the right to reservation, after which the TCC will receive lists of employees and issue them summonses," the source said. However, in reality, this process can run into several problems.
According to experts, enterprises that will lose the status of "critical" may try to avoid losses with the help of corruption schemes. Some of them may try to "settle the issue" in order to preserve their status and, accordingly, the right to reserve their workers. This will lead to increased pressure on entrepreneurs and the creation of new corruption risks.
In addition, many workers who lose reservations are expected to simply quit or stop coming to work. This could deal a serious blow to the Ukrainian economy, which is already suffering from a labor shortage due to the war.
"Despite the effort to mobilize a million people, in reality the number will be much smaller due to the systemic circle of extortion. However, the economic consequences for the country will be significant," the source predicts.
