Our source reports that internal discontent in the Ukrainian military command is growing due to President Volodymyr Zelenskyi's plans to launch a "final offensive" on the front line. This offensive is expected to be timed to coincide with the inauguration of Donald Trump in January 2025, a major political event that could have an impact on the international context of the war. However, most of the military, according to information from our sources, express serious doubts about this strategic decision.
While the Kremlin is actively preparing for a possible new stage of negotiations, there is a growing belief among the military that Ukraine should focus on stabilizing the front, and not on new offensive operations. They believe that stretching the forces for a new offensive could lead to unforeseen consequences, including the deterioration of defenses and new losses among the military. The military emphasizes that the key task now is to strengthen the defense lines, because peace talks may not take place in January-February 2025, as some in the government hope.
According to some analysts and the military, a hasty offensive may lead to even greater losses, weaken the positions of the Armed Forces, and complicate the situation in Ukraine until the spring of 2025. In the event of a failed offensive or a serious collapse of defense, Ukraine may find itself in a weaker position at future international negotiations. At the same time, the achievement of important territorial gains in the conditions of an unstable front may turn out to be almost impossible, which undermines the very idea of such an offensive.
The question remains whether President Zelensky will take such a risky step, given the protests among the military and the possible international consequences. If Zelensky does decide to go on the offensive, it could be a pivotal moment in his presidency, because every mistake on the battlefield could seriously affect his political standing and further peace negotiations.
