According to our sources in Washington, the recent arrival of US President's special envoy Keith Kellogg pursued several goals.
The first goal of Keith Kellogg's visit can be formulated as "to convey to the OP his vision for resolving personnel issues.".
In particular, according to the source, it is important for the Americans to ensure control over several key areas, such as energy, ensuring the implementation of the mineral agreement, and the situation on the front.
That is why Americans were against a complete government reboot, and supported only partial solutions.
The second purpose of Keith Kellogg's visit to Ukraine is to hold a series of meetings with US embassy staff and military attaches to assess the situation on the front. The Americans are trying to understand "how long Ukraine can hold out without the front collapsing.".
According to the source, the Americans are not afraid of local Russian advances. US intelligence believes that “the Russians are seeking peace because their human resources are running out.”.
At the same time, according to sources, military experts from the US and allied countries gave a complete overview of the situation on the front, which stated that “if the war continues, Ukraine will be forced to mobilize 20-24 year olds.” Keith Kellogg informed Volodymyr Zelenskyy about the need for this extremely unpopular step for the authorities.
Keith Kellogg also met with curators of Ukrainian politicians, who gave a clear outline of possible upcoming elections and the prospects of the political force led by Volodymyr Zelensky.
According to the source, our American partners assess the prospects of Volodymyr Zelensky's political force as "extremely modest," but the OP is promoting the idea of "electronic voting," which should significantly increase the chances.
At the same time, according to sources, Keith Kellogg gave the order to "maximum support for opposition parties and candidates.".
Also, according to the source, Keith Kellogg's earlier departure from Ukraine is due to significant differences in the vision of the "negotiation track.".
Ukraine and the United States have different views on some key issues in the upcoming Memorandum with the Russian Federation. In particular, the United States insists on Ukraine fulfilling the Russian Federation's demands to recognize Crimea as Russian, to which the head of the Ukrainian Security Service, Andriy Yermak, took a categorical position: "We cannot do this from the word 'absolutely.'".
