Oleksandr Kochetkov, a political analyst, analyzes in detail the situation surrounding the war in Ukraine and the role of Western politics in this context. According to him, after the high-profile Peace Summit in Switzerland, at which Ukraine was represented, an important moment in international politics took place - a diplomatic action by Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban. However, according to Kochetkov, these actions did not bring any significant results, and peacekeeping activity slowed down significantly.
Kochetkov notes that Russia quickly reacted to the idea of participating in the next summit by rejecting it. The Kremlin has stated that it is not going to capitulate, and if necessary, it can accept the capitulation of the West even without any summit, which demonstrates its confidence in its positions.
A political analyst believes that the Kremlin is reconsidering its goals in the war. Initially, this war was aimed at:
- Release the mad energy of the "Russian world".
- To distract Russian society from socio-economic inequality.
- Destroy Ukraine as an example for other countries.
- Scare the West and restore Russian influence over the post-Soviet countries.
Kochetkov points out that the destruction of "Okhmatdyt" is a deliberate act of intimidation of Europe, which demonstrates Russia's cruelty and unpredictability.
Analyzing the current situation, the analyst emphasizes that the Kremlin has become convinced of several important things. First, NATO and the US showed insecurity and lethargy. Western countries, instead of decisive actions that could significantly weaken the aggressor, act too cautiously. This creates the impression that the West is not ready to act in favor of its principles, which, according to Kochetkov, is not a fear of a nuclear conflict, but rather a lack of determination among modern politicians.
Second, the Kremlin realized that Russians support the war and are ready to die for propaganda purposes. International sanctions work slowly, and Russia was able to obtain the necessary equipment for waging war. It also shows that the world security order is actually not working and the aggressor continues to receive support.
Kochetkov claims that Putin now has ambitions that go beyond the post-Soviet space. It seeks decisive influence in Europe and even in other regions such as the Middle East, Asia, Africa and Latin America.
In conclusion, the analyst warns that if the concession tactic continues, it could lead to Putin demanding even more, which could shock many if peace talks resume.
