In Avdiivka, "the story of Bakhmut is repeating itself", and there is a threat of encirclement of Ukrainian forces in the city. This opinion was expressed by the Ukrainian military expert Kostyantyn Mashovets.
"Honestly, I did not want the story with Bakhmut to repeat itself in Avdiivka However, judging by everything, that's how it will be," Mashovets believes.
In his opinion, "the enemy continues to successfully implement his idea of bypassing the Avdiiv coke-chemical plant from the east and southeast."
"And, as it is not a shame to admit, it seems that the enemy is very close to putting it into practice," Mashovets added.
He writes that the advanced units of the Russian Federation during the previous few days penetrated into the garden society "Ivushka" to the street. Michurin and Zaliznychny lane, and also went to the overpass over the railway in the area of St. Chistyakov, "according to certain information, they captured him."
"All this taken together, in a sober assessment, means that they are 500 meters from the Avdiyiv bus depot and less than 1 km from the Koloda restaurant, and in fact have a real opportunity in the coming weeks (if not days) to successfully complete their Avdiyiv operation," Mashovets writes.
The reason for this forecast is the actual exclusion of the "northern road" 00542 through Orlivka and Lastochkina for the stable supply of Ukrainian units. According to Mashovets, the alternative connection in the south, through Tonenka and Severnke, is also complicated "to the limit", since the enemy's advanced positions are located at a distance of 2.2 km from this road.
According to Mashovets, if some drastic steps are not taken, "there will be a real possibility of their (ZSU) encirclement in Avdiivka".
As you can see, Avdiivka is "broken". Moreover, the situation is even worse than in Bakhmut, since Avdiivka is practically surrounded. We will either have to leave the city or put all our strength there, probably with a large number of those who surrendered, which will once again hit Zelensky's .
